Weather and Market Commentary- September 18, 2009
September 18, 2009 by sabrina829
Friday, Septemeber 18, 2009:
A “cut-off”, closed, upper-level low pressure system still looks to be the main weather feature for the Nation’s midsection next week, still resulting in a much different weather pattern that what was envisioned by the corn and soybean markets back on Tuesday when they were soaring higher on fears of a frost. The presence of that low means two things. One, as long as it is on the Midwest weather map, there is no chance of a frost in the Corn Belt as the mechanism for drawing cold air down from Canada is simply not present. Two, it means that there are going to be some persistent rain chances next week, thus slowing (or, in most cases, stopping) early harvesting activities. That is already a problem for the Delta, where it has been raining all week and a lot of totals have been heavy (flood and flash-flood watches remain in effect for much of the Delta early on this Friday). Rainfall chances for the Delta will continue through this weekend due to the current upper-level low that is now present in that area, and will continue for the work-week period of next week as the new upper level low arrives on scene. For the Corn Belt, dry weather today will give way to rain this weekend in first southern areas tomorrow and then eastern areas on Sunday as energy from the Delta weather system moves into those areas.
Far western parts of the Corn Belt will then seen rains by Sunday night, and all or parts of the Corn Belt will see rains on basically every day during the work-week period of next week. Who gets the best rains next week in the Corn Belt is a very difficult question to answer, as that depends on exactly where the upper level low wants to park itself and models typically have a poor time in analyzing that too far in advance. My thoughts right now would be for the best rains to be over far northwestern, northern, and eastern parts of the region. With it being established that the upper level low will be present next week, the next question is…when will it leave? My guess (and it really is not much more than that) is that we see a cold front move down from Canada for around next Friday (give or take a day) that will pick up the system and move it out of the region. Behind that, temperatures probably will turn cooler for September 27-29, but at this time it does not look like the air mass in that period would be cold enough to cause frost problems.
Freese-Notis Weather/Weather Trades, Inc. Des Moines, Iowa Copyright 2009 – All Rights Reserved
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Weather and Market Commentary- September 18, 2009
September 18, 2009 by sabrina829
Friday, Septemeber 18, 2009:
A “cut-off”, closed, upper-level low pressure system still looks to be the main weather feature for the Nation’s midsection next week, still resulting in a much different weather pattern that what was envisioned by the corn and soybean markets back on Tuesday when they were soaring higher on fears of a frost. The presence of that low means two things. One, as long as it is on the Midwest weather map, there is no chance of a frost in the Corn Belt as the mechanism for drawing cold air down from Canada is simply not present. Two, it means that there are going to be some persistent rain chances next week, thus slowing (or, in most cases, stopping) early harvesting activities. That is already a problem for the Delta, where it has been raining all week and a lot of totals have been heavy (flood and flash-flood watches remain in effect for much of the Delta early on this Friday). Rainfall chances for the Delta will continue through this weekend due to the current upper-level low that is now present in that area, and will continue for the work-week period of next week as the new upper level low arrives on scene. For the Corn Belt, dry weather today will give way to rain this weekend in first southern areas tomorrow and then eastern areas on Sunday as energy from the Delta weather system moves into those areas.
Far western parts of the Corn Belt will then seen rains by Sunday night, and all or parts of the Corn Belt will see rains on basically every day during the work-week period of next week. Who gets the best rains next week in the Corn Belt is a very difficult question to answer, as that depends on exactly where the upper level low wants to park itself and models typically have a poor time in analyzing that too far in advance. My thoughts right now would be for the best rains to be over far northwestern, northern, and eastern parts of the region. With it being established that the upper level low will be present next week, the next question is…when will it leave? My guess (and it really is not much more than that) is that we see a cold front move down from Canada for around next Friday (give or take a day) that will pick up the system and move it out of the region. Behind that, temperatures probably will turn cooler for September 27-29, but at this time it does not look like the air mass in that period would be cold enough to cause frost problems.
Freese-Notis Weather/Weather Trades, Inc. Des Moines, Iowa Copyright 2009 – All Rights Reserved
To Return to Fastline.com- Click Here
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