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Weather and Market Commentary: November 5, 2009
November 5, 2009 by sabrina829
Thursday, Novemeber 5, 2009:
We remain in the middle of the best stretch of harvest weather that we have seen so far this fall, and the weather forecast for next week continues to look more and more optimistic towards continued good harvest progress taking place during that time period. Except for the extreme eastern Corn Belt (where there are a few very light showers in the vicinity of Lake Erie), all of the major corn and soybean growing areas of the Nation were dry on this Thursday, and it looks like it is going to stay that way for all of today…and tomorrow…and Saturday…and most places on Sunday as well! With temperatures turning much warmer today in the Plains and western Corn Belt and overspreading all of the Corn Belt and Delta for tomorrow, this is about as good as it gets as far as November weather is concerned. On Sunday we could start to see some light rains develop in the far northwestern Corn Belt as our next weather system starts to move into the Nation’s midsection.
Weather models though continue to be less and less impressive on the rainfall totals from that system for the Plains and most of the Corn Belt. It should be a quick mover, and look for most places in those areas to get less than a quarter of an inch (Monday in the western Corn Belt, Tuesday in the east). It will probably be the Delta and Southeast that get the bigger rains for Monday/Tuesday of next week, with tropical influences playing a role there. That said, major soybean areas of the Delta most likely will escape without seeing real heavy rain (still some uncertainty on that, given the erratic nature of tropical weather systems). Beyond what early week rain falls, we should see at least another three days of dry (and warm) weather for the Plains, Corn Belt and Delta to allow for a quick resumption of harvesting. The way things are shaping up, there may not be too many soybeans left to harvest by the time we get to around November 13. We will likely see a weather system impacting the Nation’s midsection for the weekend of November 14-15; a long ways off obviously, but current indications suggest that system to produce light to moderate amounts.
Freese-Notis Weather/Weather Trades, Inc. Des Moines, Iowa Copyright 2009 – All Rights Reserved
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