Weather and Market Commentary: November 13, 2009

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Weather and Market Commentary: November 13, 2009

November 13, 2009 by sabrina829

Friday, November 13, 2009: Friday the 13th Edition

The weather that the Nation’s midsection has seen since October 31 has been nothing short of amazing, particularly when you consider how radically different it has been versus the six-week period prior to that date. I think that everyone in the Midwest and Delta will remember this year’s October weather for a long time given how incredibly wet and cold it was, but we will also likely equally remember how warm and dry it became for the first two full weeks of November. Since October 31, it is not hard to find places in the Midwest and Delta that have recorded no rain at all, with places that did get rain during that period seeing mostly a quarter inch or less. Eastern Kansas and northeastern Missouri would be the only places getting appreciably more, but even in those places the totals do not reach what is normally seen for the first two weeks of November.

Combining that with temperatures ranging from about two degrees above normal in the far eastern Corn Belt and Delta to more than six degrees above normal in the western Corn Belt and Plains so far this month, you get the impression that this weather has been nothing short of “perfect”…which is exactly what farmers needed after such terrible weather in October. Going forward though the weather is going not be nearly as good. While very light rains will slide across northern and western parts of the Corn Belt for later today through tomorrow, a storm system that gets started on Sunday will be the main focus for precipitation. Sunday’s precipitation will be mainly for hard-red winter wheat areas of the Plains, with rain by Monday morning reaching southern Nebraska, Missouri, and far southern Iowa. Those areas, as well as eventually western Illinois, may very well continue to be the focus for most of the rain right through Tuesday so this event will be very slow to bring rain to the far eastern and far northern Corn Belt. Additional wet weather from additional weather systems is forecast for next Friday and into about the November 23 time frame, with the biggest impact of that precipitation likely being felt for areas east of Interstate 35. This is still not a cold weather pattern, with November 19-22 looking to be a very warm period for especially the Northern Plains and the northern/eastern Corn Belt.